Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.000178 0.000197 0.000218 0.000242 0.000269 0.000299 0.000334
2025-04-27 0.000145 0.000173 0.000207 0.000249 0.000301 0.000363 0.000445
2025-05-04 0.000122 0.000154 0.000194 0.000248 0.000319 0.000412 0.000541
2025-05-11 0.000107 0.000142 0.000186 0.000250 0.000340 0.000462 0.000646
2025-05-18 0.000095 0.000130 0.000178 0.000248 0.000352 0.000503 0.000741
2025-05-25 0.000085 0.000120 0.000170 0.000247 0.000364 0.000542 0.000838
2025-06-01 0.000077 0.000112 0.000162 0.000243 0.000372 0.000576 0.000932
2025-06-08 0.000069 0.000102 0.000152 0.000235 0.000371 0.000593 0.001000
2025-06-15 0.000065 0.000098 0.000150 0.000238 0.000388 0.000642 0.001129
2025-06-22 0.000061 0.000095 0.000149 0.000243 0.000408 0.000700 0.001283
2025-06-29 0.000056 0.000089 0.000142 0.000237 0.000410 0.000725 0.001377
2025-07-06 0.000051 0.000082 0.000133 0.000227 0.000402 0.000730 0.001431
2025-07-13 0.000048 0.000079 0.000131 0.000228 0.000416 0.000781 0.001595
2025-07-20 0.000046 0.000077 0.000130 0.000233 0.000438 0.000852 0.001816
2025-07-27 0.000043 0.000073 0.000126 0.000232 0.000448 0.000899 0.001995
2025-08-03 0.000040 0.000070 0.000125 0.000234 0.000465 0.000964 0.002227
2025-08-10 0.000038 0.000067 0.000121 0.000233 0.000474 0.001011 0.002426
2025-08-17 0.000036 0.000064 0.000118 0.000231 0.000482 0.001059 0.002638
2025-08-24 0.000034 0.000061 0.000114 0.000228 0.000487 0.001099 0.002837
2025-08-31 0.000031 0.000057 0.000108 0.000220 0.000480 0.001109 0.002952
2025-09-07 0.000030 0.000056 0.000107 0.000223 0.000498 0.001184 0.003277
2025-09-14 0.000029 0.000055 0.000107 0.000227 0.000521 0.001277 0.003676
2025-09-21 0.000027 0.000052 0.000103 0.000222 0.000520 0.001305 0.003881